As you observed diary after diary, posting after posting, & comment after comment.
You start to clearly see how two groups of democrats view this 2008 Presidential race.
Are there exceptions ? Of course ! But for the overwhelming majority of Obama & Clinton fans, you will notice a pattern & a way of thinking.
For Obama supporters:
The overwhelming majority of Obamamaniacs postings/diaries are focused on Proving that Obama is going to win this primary.
Its basically repeating & convincing anyone & everyone who wants to listen- that Sen. Obama is already the nominee.
Basically, its all about the democratic primary & the historic implications of nominating the 1st black candidate for President.
The November election is mentioned by far, at a lesser volume than Clinton supporters. And those who mention Obama's chances for November go to the same one formula. ( just varying one or two states but pretty much the same formula)
Obama " HOPEFULLY" wins Colorado.( 9 EV's) and "Very Hopefully" wins Virginia.(13 EV's) While keeping states like Wisconsin, Oregon, & Minnesotta Blue.( 3 states total of 23 EV's) ( The celebration of primary victories in states like Idaho, North Dakota, Wyoming, Alaska & South Dakota is Never Ever mentioned Again for November- For Very Obvious Reasons. But once in a while, we all get our share of a nutcase here & there who would proclaim that the Charm of Sen. Obama will carry the state of Idaho, Wyoming & North Dakota in the fall)
For Clinton Supporters:
For 99% of Clinton supporters, the focus for these Clintonistas is 100 times more focused on "Winning in November".
The confidence level for November could not be more different between the two groups of Democrats.
While the Obamamaniacs predictions & dreams for November sound more based on " Hope", & "Optimism" based on the Charisma, Intelligence, Freshness of their man, Sen. Obama...
Pratically, 9 out of 10 Clinton supporters will tell anyone without blinking of an eye of multiple realistic scenarios of how Clinton will win in November. Without a doubt, its a much higher ( with even a smell of some arrogance, lol) confidence level of what Sen. Clinton will accomplish as the nominee.
It ranges for ensuring key Blue states remain Blue like PA,NJ,MA,NH ( total=52 electoral votes) in the democratic column to confidently Winning Red states like Ohio (20 EV), Missouri(11 EV) , Florida (27 EV), West Virginia(5 EV), Arkansas( 6EV), New Mexico(5 EV.) (total of 74 EV's)
So many different combinations that ensure a democratic victory.
Even a very possible electoral landslide.
In conclusion:
With the Obama persuasion, its normally the same. "HOPEFULLY" win Colorado. Even a "Gigantic Hope" of Winning Virginia.
Combined with a Proud proclaimation that Obama will keep the state of Minnesotta,Oregon & Wisconsin Blue.
Someone needs to point out to the partisans that If..
states like MN,OR & WI went for the awful New England liberal John Kerry, Gore, Bill Clinton twice - Any Democrat, regardless of Obama or Hillary Clinton WILL CARRY these three states.
For Heaven's sake, the state of Minnesota even went SOLO & voted for Fritz Mondale while 49 other states went for the Conservative Reagan.
And you think MN will somehow vote for a Republican McCain over a Democrat Clinton ? The other half of the Clinton that carried MN by huge margins?
Dodd, Edwards, Biden,Kerry, Gore, even Ted Kennedy would carry MN in November! lol
If any democrat cannot even carry any of these 3 blue states, then, any Republican would win by a landslide in November.
Secondly, Most Obamamaniacs & his political surrogates in the media have pretty much accepted the fact that Ohio, Florida & Missouri ( total of 40 EV's)will almost surely go for McCain in November against Obama.
Third, Not one Obama campaign strategist or political backer ever explains how Obama intends to carry PA & its 21 electoral votes in November against John McCain.
The only few times that you will ever hear any Obamamaniac on MYDD explain how Obama might carry or defend PA is with the help of CLinton in November.
Its the " Clinton will need to show she is a real democrat & campaign hard for Obama in states like PA & OH".
Guys & Gals. Yes, Clinton is very popular in places like OH,PA, FL but I don't think she is that popular that voters will just blindly follow her endorsement to vote for Obama.
With all that said, Why Go for a Big "Headache" in November when it can be avoided ?
Why Go for someone who using a non-bias opinion will most likely lose In November BASED on the ELECTORAL COLLEGE system of electing a President ?
No more delegate splits,no more caucuses limited to the most liberal activists. No more 4 to 1 money advantage.
$150 million of 527 attacks on Race, Patriotism & Rev. Wright.
The sad part in all this ?
The very same community who gives Sen. Obama 92% of their vote are the Very Same Community that Suffers the most every single time that this country installs a Republican Administration. A Republican agenda based on Anti-Poor, Anti-Minority, Anti-Affirmative Action, Anti-Jobs.
And Yes, the chances of a Republican President is high today. In fact, it is very high with the Senator from Chicago as the nominee.
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